Michael1942's Blog

We may be on the brink of a bipartisan solution that’s fair

Robert Reich Sep 8

Friends,

One of the reasons I write this letter to you each day is to arm you with the facts and analyses you need to respond to the garbage coming out of Trump’s Republican Party.

Today I want to talk to you about Social Security.

The trustees of Social Security — of which yours truly was once a member — say the program will be able to pay full benefits only until 2033. After that, Social Security will be able to dole out only roughly 77 percent of benefits due.

This summer, Ohio’s Republican Sen. Bernie Moreno joined Sen. Elizabeth Warren in proposing to raise the payroll tax cap so people with higher incomes pay more into the program.

Fairly suddenly, the idea is emerging as an acceptable fix among other GOP lawmakers, including Rep. Tom Cole (Oklahoma), the influential chair of the House Appropriations Committee.

Cole thinks the political blowback from Social Security benefit cuts would be far worse than a comprehensive solution that includes raising taxes.

It’s another example of Republicans deserting Trump, who thinks the “fix” for Social Security is to repeal taxes on Social Security benefits. Trump’s fix will not save Social Security. In fact, quite the opposite. Without the revenue from Social Security taxes, the Social Security trust fund will run out of money even sooner.

I’m encouraged by what looks like the start of a Republican turnaround on this. Not only are Republican deserting Trump but they’re beginning — just beginning — to become sensitive to what average voters need and want.

Contary to conventional wisdom, the reason Social Security is running out of money is not because so many boomers are retiring.

The Social Security trustees anticipated the boom in boomer retirements. This is why Social Security was amended back in 1983, to gradually increase the age for collecting full retirement benefits from 65 to 67. That change is helping finance the boomers’ retirement.

The real reason Social Security is running out of money is something the trustees never anticipated: how much of the nation’s total income is going to the top.

A big part of the American working population today is earning less than the Social Security trustees anticipated years ago — reducing revenue flowing into the program.

Had the pay of American workers kept up with the trend decades ago — as well as their growing productivity — their Social Security payments would have kept the program flush.

But a much larger chunk of the nation’s total income is now going to the top compared to decades ago.

Yet income subject to the Social Security payroll tax is capped. No dollar of earnings above the cap is taxed. The cap in 2026 is $184,500.

So, as the rich have become far richer, more and more of the nation’s total income has escaped the Social Security payroll tax.

A CEO earning $20 million a year pays Social Security taxes on roughly 1 percent of their income, while a worker earning under the cap pays Social Security taxes on 100 percent of their income.

They both end up paying the same amount of money into the program. This isn’t fair.

The rise in the amount of income above the cap due to inequality has cost the Social Security Trust Fund reserve more than $1.4 trillion since 1983.

The solution is obvious: Scrap the cap and make the rich pay more in Social Security taxes.

One plan introduced by Democrats in Congress would eliminate the cap on earnings over $250,000 and also subject investment income to Social Security taxes.

It’s estimated that this would extend the solvency of Social Security for the next 75 years without raising taxes on 93 percent of American households.

Bottom line: Trump’s plan will destroy Social Security.

The Democrats’ plan will save it — and do so fairly. Remarkably, Republicans are coming around to this plan.

If we want to ensure Social Security’s long-term future, and that working people can retire with dignity, we must make the wealthy pay their fair share.

Friends,

One of the reasons I write this letter to you each day is to arm you with the facts and analyses you need to respond to the garbage coming out of Trump’s Republican Party.

Today I want to talk to you about Social Security.

The trustees of Social Security — of which yours truly was once a member — say the program will be able to pay full benefits only until 2033. After that, Social Security will be able to dole out only roughly 77 percent of benefits due.

This summer, Ohio’s Republican Sen. Bernie Moreno joined Sen. Elizabeth Warren in proposing to raise the payroll tax cap so people with higher incomes pay more into the program.

Fairly suddenly, the idea is emerging as an acceptable fix among other GOP lawmakers, including Rep. Tom Cole (Oklahoma), the influential chair of the House Appropriations Committee.

Cole thinks the political blowback from Social Security benefit cuts would be far worse than a comprehensive solution that includes raising taxes.

It’s another example of Republicans deserting Trump, who thinks the “fix” for Social Security is to repeal taxes on Social Security benefits. Trump’s fix will not save Social Security. In fact, quite the opposite. Without the revenue from Social Security taxes, the Social Security trust fund will run out of money even sooner.

I’m encouraged by what looks like the start of a Republican turnaround on this. Not only are Republican deserting Trump but they’re beginning — just beginning — to become sensitive to what average voters need and want.

Contary to conventional wisdom, the reason Social Security is running out of money is not because so many boomers are retiring.

The Social Security trustees anticipated the boom in boomer retirements. This is why Social Security was amended back in 1983, to gradually increase the age for collecting full retirement benefits from 65 to 67. That change is helping finance the boomers’ retirement.

The real reason Social Security is running out of money is something the trustees never anticipated: how much of the nation’s total income is going to the top.

A big part of the American working population today is earning less than the Social Security trustees anticipated years ago — reducing revenue flowing into the program.

Had the pay of American workers kept up with the trend decades ago — as well as their growing productivity — their Social Security payments would have kept the program flush.

But a much larger chunk of the nation’s total income is now going to the top compared to decades ago.

Yet income subject to the Social Security payroll tax is capped. No dollar of earnings above the cap is taxed. The cap in 2026 is $184,500.

So, as the rich have become far richer, more and more of the nation’s total income has escaped the Social Security payroll tax.

A CEO earning $20 million a year pays Social Security taxes on roughly 1 percent of their income, while a worker earning under the cap pays Social Security taxes on 100 percent of their income.

They both end up paying the same amount of money into the program. This isn’t fair.

The rise in the amount of income above the cap due to inequality has cost the Social Security Trust Fund reserve more than $1.4 trillion since 1983.

The solution is obvious: Scrap the cap and make the rich pay more in Social Security taxes.

One plan introduced by Democrats in Congress would eliminate the cap on earnings over $250,000 and also subject investment income to Social Security taxes.

It’s estimated that this would extend the solvency of Social Security for the next 75 years without raising taxes on 93 percent of American households.

Bottom line: Trump’s plan will destroy Social Security.

The Democrats’ plan will save it — and do so fairly. Remarkably, Republicans are coming around to this plan.

If we want to ensure Social Security’s long-term future, and that working people can retire with dignity, we must make the wealthy pay their fair share.